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Intel pulling away from AMD
Date: 02/06/08
(Computer Geeks) Keywords: no keywords
AMD makes a 45 nm comeback against Intel's Penryn http://www.theinquirer.net/gb/inquirer/news/2008/02/05/analysed-amd-nm-comeback-vs
Best case, of course, is Bloomfield Nehalem out - probably at not much more than 3.2 GHz, but a fast 4-core, 8-thread monster with native integrated memory controllers, QuickPath and 3-channel DDR3-1600 memory subsystem. Expect it to be at least as fast as a 4 GHz Yorkfield, and twice that in memory benchmarks.
Talk about Yorkfield, that is the "worst case". Assume that Intel doesn't move at all - they could still use the existing steppings to ship 3.6 GHz / FSB1600 (multiplier 9x) Yorkfields without any problems.
Let's give AMD a headstart then. How would a 3.2 GHz DDR2-1066 45 nm, 6 MB cache Phenom, AMD's best case this September, compare with Intel's 3.6 GHz FSB-1600 Yorkfield, their worst case that same month?
Based on the existing benchmarks, a 2.6 GHz DDR2-800 Phenom 9900 is, on average, 15%-20% behind 2.66 GHz FSB1333 Yorkfield Q9450. Assume that, on aver age, the above mentioned 3.2 GHz 45 nm AMD part would perform some 35% better than the Phenom 9900 - a generous allowance, shurely. Also, give the 3.6 GHz Intel, say, 30% extra over the Q9450.
The result, after a bit of rounding: Intel would still be some 10% - 15% faster, except for the memory benches. And that ignores completely at least two major steppings they'd do in such period of time on the Penryn dies - if the 65 nm history is any guide, we should expect at least a 10% direct frequency jump at the same voltage or even TDP in that process, with corresponding high-MHz yield increases.
Even if Intel grinds to a complete STOP and basically offer the same products it offers now, it would still be ahead of AMD's new stuff (if it comes out) in September. The best case scenerio for AMD almost a whole year from now still loses out to Intel's worst case scenerio then.
That's all she wrote, folks. Things are getting boring between Intel and AMD. I'm gonna go take a nap now- Wake me up when Nehalem comes out.
Source: http://community.livejournal.com/computergeeks/1149480.html
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